CHOSEN: End Times Newsletter – Issue 162
The Minister’s Corner
“You will know the truth, and the truth will set you free.” John 8:32
Nothing Compares to You
submitted by Johanna
I’m sitting here filled with wonder
At the amazing things you do
How the waters stay in the oceans
And the vast beauty of the view
How the stars are hung in the sky
Within them is written your word
How we are the following sheep
And you are the only Shepherd
How the sky is painted with color
Bursts of orange in the sunset glow
How much knowledge it took to make
And how little us humans know
How intricately you planned it
There was nothing you left unthought
From the delicacy of a baby
To all the sins of ours you bought
There’s no other love that’s out there
As deep and as faithful and true
No other comfort to be found
Because nothing compares to you
Nothing compares to your miracles
Or the listening time you spend
How you always take good care of us
And our broken hearts that you mend
To us, our problems like mountains
To you, they’re no problem at all
You’re ever so watchful and there
To help catch us, when we do fall
I’m just sitting here filled with wonder
At the awesome things that you do
At being our Lord and Savior
Because nothing compares to You!
Heavenly Mother and Father Yahweh,
Please help your Ministers know when to speak and when to be silent.
Please help us remain strong in the face of those who oppose Your truth.
Please help us to not take on negativity as we pass through dark valleys on our way to Your promised Kingdom.
Please help us to see clearly in a world filled with deception and false perception.
Please help our hearts to continue to love even as we are attacked.
In the name of our loving Savior Christ Jesus, Your Son and vindicator of righteous rule.
Amen Mother and Father Yahweh
We would like to announce the arrival of Book Two, the continuation of Chosen: End Times Truths Revealed.
Book Two starts where the first book left off and includes accounts from ministers Regina, Johanna, Deborah, and Elisha, describing their individual journeys and experiences in their service to Yahweh and Christ over the past several years in autobiographical form.
It is available in .pdf form for free via www.chosen.weebly.com and will be updated monthly.
The Journey Continues
Below is a sneak-peek of each of the books included in Chosen, Book Two
There are many days in which I feel as though I must stop and focus and just try to get through the next 24 hours, some days even just the next hour, and then that day passes and the next arrives and passes, and arrives until all of a sudden a year has passed, and then two and four and now five. It’s odd how time can seem to pass so slowly and quickly at the same time. Many of these days, the good and the not-so-good, I will recount here and many have receded to the deeper recesses of my mind but what I’m able to remember, I share with you here honestly and openly…
On October 2nd or 3rd of 2005, I was on this website were there were camera’s placed through out peoples homes who claimed that they were being haunted. I have always liked supernatural things. I believed in ghost, angels and demons. I started talking to this woman and asked her how she see’s the things that she does. I also told her that I believed in spirit guides. She told me that she couldn’t help me with the guides but that she knew of a website where I could find some answers. She sent me the link to a forum by the name of “Beyond This World”. After looking at a few things and noticing that they had psychic exercises I decided to sign up to become a member…
Word came to us toward the end of May 2010 that we were to begin documenting our experiences ending where Chosen left off. Each Minister is to produce a “book” of our own that will be incorporated into Chosen. Its a little daunting to say the least. I have not been journaling as Regina has been (it isn’t something I naturally do). Also, I actually do not have a very good memory. But I trust that those things that Father wishes us to recall we will. We have been guided by Michael to read the book of ACTS to guide us. It seems to focus on events that show times of strong guidance from/interactions with Holy Spirit…
In 2006, I was able to reconnect with a long time friend. I found out she had co-authored a book. Considering how we had grown up together I was interested in the fact that she had written one and wanted to read it myself. She, Regina, sent me the book and some more details about it. I found out it was a lot to take in and did so in baby steps with much prayer and guidance from Father. I was blessed to freely ask any question of Regina and felt comfortable in doing so. I read the book with an open mind and while some of it confirmed my deepest suspicions other information provided was such an eye-opener…
Nourishment from the Throne
“For the LORD gives wisdom. From His mouth come knowledge and understanding.” Proverbs 2:6
The Jerusalem Press – Latest Release – Part Two
Regina: Joe, you mentioned above that the negative energy spin from clockwise to counter-clockwise was movement in the other direction – would it also be accurate to say that it also symbolized their willful movement in the opposite direction of Her throne and authority? Basically… turning their backs on Her and Her Way and walking in the opposite and opposing direction?
Deborah: Joe, for those of us who post end times information on other message boards, does Mother want us to post this now or at a coming point in time?
Alderra: Wow, what can I say?
And always a remnant, never a majority, so sad, but it has always been this way, from the Great Flood to the destruction of Sodom.
I did not know that God was actively at war with mankind – prior to joining this forum, I always assumed earthquakes and the like were natural causes. You’d often hear about certain preachers who said America was being punished by God for the sins of its inhabitants – maybe they’re not so far off after all.
So even before Earth, there was conflict. There will never be a true peace will there because of all the untold billions of humans yet to be born and any future intelligent creations yet to be made that might just decide to do things their own way.
Joe: (Responding to Regina) Yes child. Turning their back on the Way is turning their back on the truth of Mother who is the Sovereign God of all of creation. So, all things stem from desire. Satan’s desire to be like Mother. The first group of fallen angels to be like humans. The next that fell at the expulsion wanted freedom from assignments. They saw the other fallen angels doing as they pleased. At that time they would enter Heaven and make fun of the Bee Hive, because Heaven is set up like a worker Bee Colony. The fallen angels felt that Mother was not powerful enough to halt rebellion in Her creation, and it spread to others that began to feel that way. This is why Mother states:
Exodus 9:16 “However, I have let you live for this purpose: to show you My power and to make My name known in all the earth.”
So this Scripture reflects what Mother told Satan and the fallen angels, and later to the converts. The demons have yet to see Mother in full action, but it’s coming.
Concerning desires of the heart:
Isaiah 57:17 “Because of his sinful greed I was angry, so I struck him; I was angry and hid; but he went on turning back to the desires of his heart.”
So, piecing what occurred in Heaven can be found in other Scriptures that also apply:
Deuteronomy 8:17 “You may say to yourself, ‘My power and my own ability have gained this wealth for me,'”
That’s what Satan thought to himself. His intellect was actually of a superior quality in comparison to many of the angels in Heaven, and his power was almost limitless because Mother had endowed him with it. But what happened to his ability when Mother restricted the use of his powers? He found out that She would not sit idly back on Her thumbs and let him do whatever he wanted to. He thought he would still have free reign. So….. In what we call a dual meaning Scripture that applies to our Mother instead of an earthly human:
2 Chronicles 32:15 “So now, don’t let Hezekiah deceive you, and don’t let him mislead you like this. Don’t believe him, for no god of any nation or kingdom has been able to deliver his people from my power or the power of my fathers. How much less will your gods deliver you from my power!’ “
Satan found that if Mother intervened, which She did, that he could not deliver his own seed out of Her hand of wrath. And so, in the duality of this Scripture, we now look at it in the other meaning it reveals in full content:
2 Kings 18:34-36 Where are the gods of Hamath and Arpad? Where are the gods of Sepharvaim, Hena, and Ivvah? Have they delivered Samaria from my hand? Who among all the gods of the lands has delivered his land from my power? So how is the LORD to deliver Jerusalem? ‘ “But the people kept silent; they answered him not a word, for the king’s command was, “Don’t answer him.”
In contrast, Satan’s enemy is the holy family. He is confined to this planet, so he carries on the war effort against the human element and the holy angels assigned to the earth that serves Mother and Christ. Like the person above, Satan wants to hold power over the faithful ones that are remaining here on earth. Mother holds Satan’s people in contempt by punishing them, because like the demons, they are undesirable subjects of Satan’s and they seek free will without hindrance of Her Sovereignty. So Satan mirrors Mother in all things She does. She puts him in Magog and alienates him from his children, so he seeks to do likewise by trying to implement a plan that will surround Her children and he can do as he pleases with them. She kills his children as punishment, and he seeks to kill Her children as punishment for not seeking his rule over Her’s. Like the above, Satan tries to figure out what Mother’s plan of action is on each square of the war chess board.
Judges 9:29 “If only these people were in my power, I would remove Abimelech.” So he said to Abimelech, “Gather your army and come out.”
So Satan believes that if he could hold power over Mother’s people left down here, he could eventually remove Her Authority with violence if he could sustain a win on the field of combat. He has made headway by helping the United States develop weapons that can effectively kill spirit energy. It literally turns positive energy to spent energy. It is not without reason that Mother says there will be a battle for this planet, and it will require the bravery of Her elite to overcome the arsenal awaiting them. The fact that Mother can reanimate will be suspended at the Great Battle of Armageddon. It is to be a decisive battle that determines who hold true Sovereignty. If Satan can kill all of Mother’s warriors and be the victor on the battlefield, under the rules of this war he will have shifted the power balance in his favor, and Mother will be obliged to let him have a dual ruler-ship. If that were to occur, it would be in direct conflict with Her prophetic Word, and no one knows exactly what might happen to this reality. She stated that heaven and earth would sooner pass away than Her word be returned unfulfilled. So, Satan is gambling again that Mother will not simply wipe out everything but Her and Christ. But at this point, he has nothing to lose but what he would have lost anyway if he loses the war. We call it the unknown factor in Heaven. Will Mother honor the agreement if he wins, or will She feel we’ve all failed Her and are all traitors to Her throne? Only Mother can answer that question. She says Her Plan cannot be thwarted, but it is the duty of all of the holy family to endure and work to wards winning this war.
(Responding to Deborah) Yes child. This is to become a permanent topic in the newsletter as well. Mother is using this ministry to bring forth Her prophecy. There is a reason people will blaspheme Her. It is this ministry’s duty to drop the spiritual hailstones that are a wake up call. The physical enormous hailstones follow your message to mankind. I know all of you would prefer giving the salvation message, and that is still a part of this ministry’s duties also, but Mother wants people to know who the calamities have been coming from and who they will continue to come from:
Revelation 16:21 “Enormous hailstones, each weighing about 100 pounds, fell from heaven on the people, and they blasphemed God for the plague of hail because that plague was extremely severe.”
Severity is about to become much worse. Satan is not the cause, and Mother wants everyone to know that it comes directly from Her – The One in control, and the One whom is nature. Then, this will come to pass as well:
Psalm 83:18 “May they know that You alone— whose name is Yahweh—are the Most High over all the earth.”
Only Her who is Highest can bring calamity on mankind. Her alone. Satan is powerless to stop Her. Then he will turn his full attention on the remnant here.
Ezekiel 28:23 “I will send a plague against her and bloodshed in her streets; the slain will fall within her, while the sword is against her on every side. Then they will know that I am the LORD.”
Mother is about to bring full rebellion to Satan’s empire. Hard as he is trying to keep peace, he will not be able to halt the people from rebelling against the governments. There is a reason for the job failures and the staggering economy, and the lost homes. All designed to culminate against each government of every nation affected by this curse from Mother.
Malachi 1:4 “Though Edom says: “We have been devastated, but we will rebuild the ruins,” the LORD of Hosts says this: “They may build, but I will demolish. They will be called a wicked country and the people the LORD has cursed forever.”
Satan will bring the nations back up from ruin for a short while, but they will not hold together. During that period of destruction, the people will seek their true benefactor that is opposed to Christ and Mother. The Antichrist will then make his appearance. The people will be awed by Satan’s regained powers and his strength to bring peace to this world of people. But it will not last. Mother will see to that.
Matthew 25:41 “Then He will also say to those on the left, ‘Depart from Me, you who are cursed, into the eternal fire prepared for the Devil and his angels!”
All of mankind is cursed except for the remnant.
Mark 11:12 “[ The Barren Fig Tree Is Cursed ] The next day when they came out from Bethany, He was hungry.”
Mark 11:21 “Then Peter remembered and said to Him, ” Rabbi, look! The fig tree that You cursed is withered.”
Satan’s family tree is barren and was cursed long ago.
Mark 11:21Then Peter remembered and said to Him, ” Rabbi, look! The fig tree that You cursed is withered.”
Mankind is withering under our Mother’s curse.
Jeremiah 17:5 “[ Curse and Blessing ] This is what the LORD says: Cursed is the man who trusts in mankind, who makes [human] flesh his strength and turns his heart from the LORD.”
This is because mankind is under a curse and belongs to Satan. It requires effort – action on the part of anyone to get out of Satan’s empire. Those that have remained are to receive the plagues just ahead. Everything else has just been foreplay. The worst is just ahead, and it’s all from Mother.
When Satan’s empire totally crumbles out from under him and them as their Antichrist, tell them this is what will happen:
Ezekiel 33:27 “Tell them this: This is what the Lord GOD says: As surely as I live, those who are in the ruins will fall by the sword, those in the open field I have given to wild animals to be devoured, and those in the strongholds and caves will die by plague.”
Ezekiel 38:22 “I will execute judgment on him with plague and bloodshed. I will pour out torrential rain, hailstones, fire, and brimstone on him, as well as his troops and the many peoples who are with him.”
Habakkuk 3:5 “Plague goes before Him, and pestilence follows in His steps.”
That is the path Mother will lead Satan’s followers down.
Deuteronomy 28:16 “You will be cursed in the city and cursed in the country.”
There will be no where to hide.
For the so-called Christian churches that claim to reveal Mother’s Word in truth:
Revelation 2:23 “I will kill her children with the plague. Then all the churches will know that I am the One who examines minds and hearts, and I will give to each of you according to your works.”
They are cursed especially for their lying conduct in reference to Mother and Christ.” Remember when Mother killed the first born males of ancient Egypt? Now she will kill the children of Satan that make up the false churches.
1 Chronicles 21:27 “Then the LORD spoke to the angel, and he put his sword back into its sheath.”
The only way this will happen is if they repent and accept Yahweh for who She really is – in Truth. Otherwise, those churches professing to be true Christians will go the way of the rest of cursed mankind.
Revelation 2:11 “Anyone who has an ear should listen to what the Spirit says to the churches. The victor will never be harmed by the second death.”
That’s your guideline child.
(Responding to Alderra) “punished by God for the sins of its inhabitants ” It’s been going on since the pre-flood era. The moment Mother declared war against Satan and his seed.
“So even before Earth, there was conflict.” More than any of you could imagine. The old Joint Command is credited with destroying thousands upon thousands of past civilizations made up of various intelligent races that went sour.
“There will never be a true peace will there because of all the untold billions of humans yet to be born and any future intelligent creations yet to be made that might just decide to do things their own way.” As long as free will is involved, there is always the chance of rebellion. But future rebellion, once the Sovereignty issue is settled, any rebellions will be dealt with swiftly. Eternal death is only removed for those that remain faithful. Otherwise, the pit of destruction will always remain open. Christ will be blunt and to the point during the Millennium. He will warn of the grave consequence for willful sin.
“any future intelligent creations yet to be made” The Divine Plan is to not create any new specie for inhabiting other worlds. Mankind is to grow throughout the expanse after the final Judgment of Satan and his demons in the post Millennium period. Hopefully it will be a closed chapter to future sin.
Regina: We will do all that is asked of us in our duty to Mother and Christ. May Mother guide Her ministry in doing Her will and may Her will be done now and for all eternity. Amen.
Spiritual War News
The Sons of Light against the Sons of Darkness
July 9, 2010
Joe – This was reported by the Jerusalem press to the spirit community. Jake wouldn’t give me any additional info besides the pic. He said this is ALPHA
“A craft of the JAC broke through the Azmon Barrier at 9pm Central time tonight. No reports of injuries to our Azmon legions. Just shaken by the thrust through the barrier. Monitored transmissions by Alpha Command revealed that Arieldamascus was in contact with an outpost at the Orion Constellation when he made his break from the detention plane. A search is presently being conducted to make certain whether or not Satan might have again escaped outside the detention plane aided by the JAC. The previous report concerning Arieldamascus probability of having been offed at the planet Pharaoh during a blast at a facility under the authority of the JAC is now believed to be in error. Alpha Command has sent crafts in hot pursuit of the JAC craft to try and prevent it from reaching safe haven at the Orion Constellation. Michael-Seraiah was not available for comment concerning this latest development in the war waging with the JAC. Alpha Command has also not offered any dispatches or other information than what we’ve received from the Mount Zion Information Officer.” Included with his information and placed in this publication was a surveillance photo taken at the time the JAC craft exited the detention plane.
You know what I think? Seraiah is missing, and he is an artist at altering his identity in past times. I think that’s Seraiah that went through the barrier, because Alpha has captured several of the JAC’s crafts inside the DP. And I think he’s fooled the JAC and our spirit community to try and get our brothers and sisters off that planet in Orion. I could be wrong….. Just guessing.
Jul 10, 2010
Joe – Seraiah would go not only for Liddia and the others, but because he put Jaddai’s life on the line. Jaddai was accustomed to waring with Satan and his demons, not the JAC. They are a ruthless bunch of angels, even when they were in the family. I was not surprised they went sour.
I just heard from Jake. Alpha Surveillance has reported that a JAC ship is now headed back towards the earth. That’s got to be Seraiah. Surely the JAC aren’t that stupid.
Et oh. Seraiah must have blown his cover, because the JAC are interested in the direction he’s headed. They are now in pursuit of the lead JAC craft. Jake said the surveillance craft is going to fire on the JAC’s pursuing the lead craft. That tells me Alpha knows who is piloting that craft.
I can just see Seraiah storming into that camp on Andeus and ordering the angels there to hand over those prisoners to his custody. Knowing Seraiah, he probably asked for all of the info on all of the prisoners being held throughout Orion. To bad he didn’t tell them all to surrender.
I’ll bet the JAC think Arieldamascus is taking Jaddai and his crew to make a deal that excluded his warriors. Well, we shall see what is going on within the next couple of hours.
Jake is fessing up. He said Seraiah and Commander Jaddai and his crew should be at the barrier shortly. I knew it!
Lifting the Veil
Learning How to See and Decipher Spiritual Photos
Is Real Effort Exerted to Perform a Task?
Alderra: This might come across as a strange question but is real effort utilized in the spirit realm when everything that needs to be done can be thought into existence?
As I understand it, every task on the other side is driven purely by thought.
Want a drink? Think it into existence. Vibe down and enjoy. Not enough tequila? Think some more.
Hungry for fish and chips? Think it into existence. Add salt for flavor.
Back in ancient times, humans used two pieces of wood and a lot of elbow grease to make fire. Then they discovered flint. Now we strike a match and hey presto, instant fire!
A lot of the tasks that would have taken hours in the Victorian era have become almost effortless today. Washing machines wash and dry clothes at the touch of a button. Microwaves warm our prepackaged food for an instant ready meal.
It must be awesome in the spirit realm to think anything you want into existence and the only thing you need is enough energy reserves to make it happen.
Joe: When you have a vivid dream it seems real, yes? But later it fades away. That’s the only way I can explain the difference in thought without effort. Without effort you can imagine and create many things. That’s play. But work, it requires effort. And with effort comes sustained results. Yahweh is the Sustained Force of creation, but it requires more than thought on Her part. It requires constant work. As Christ said, he works and his Father works. Do you want fools gold or real gold? If you cast gold that will fade away, then it’s fools gold. Real gold requires mining it even in the spirit realm.
When Michal created the universes with all of their planets and moons and what have you, he did so with effort, not merely thought. It is a combined or coupled effort that goes hand in hand. Thought and work. Work gives accomplishment. If you thought that the Word be delivered, but did not work to deliver the message, then what was the accomplishment?
Genesis 2:12 “Gold from that land is pure; bdellium and onyx are also there.”
There are different grades of gold in either realm. If thought alone was what ideally created sustained casts and created it by each individual spirit then it would all be pure and last for eternity. But Mother’s law for the other side does not allow for something precious to be mass produced by spirits that will not fade away. It would then be of no value because it would be as abundant as the energy it would be cast from. Therefore it is necessary for even the spirit class to search for and harvest from nature what is precious and long lasting.
it will require effort to destroy the world powers and Satan and his demons and converts. Thought alone will not suffice. It is the catalyst, but not the body required to do the work. If thought was all that was needed, then there would be no need for the angelic class to assist at the executions at Armageddon upon the evil. In creation there is a body for both realms. But either body must be coupled to a mind that begins the process for the work to be performed.
Daniel 10:13 “But the prince of the kingdom of Persia opposed me for 21 days. Then Michael, one of the chief princes, came to help me after I had been left there with the kings of Persia.”
The fighting was performed physically and not with mere thought.
“It must be awesome in the spirit realm to think anything you want into existence and the only thing you need is enough energy reserves to make it happen” True but it is not long lasting. It would be like the armor of the opposing sides. It eventually fades, but the weaponry can last indefinitely unless it is destroyed. Even angels, including Satan and those others that have fallen were created in the great fiery furnace of Mount Zion.
“28 All are stubborn rebels
[They are] bronze and iron;
all of them are corrupt.
29 The bellows blow,
blasting the lead with fire.
The refining is completely in vain;
the evil ones are not separated out.
30 They are called rejected silver,
for the LORD has rejected them. “
Ecclesiastes 3:13 “It is also the gift of God whenever anyone eats, drinks, and enjoys all his efforts.”
This applies to both realms.
Luke 13:24 “Make every effort to enter through the narrow door, because I tell you, many will try to enter and won’t be able.”
And then an effort must be made to remain within the narrow door once inside. Thought alone will not keep you inside and on the narrow path. It requires works, and work requires tangible effort.
Ecclesiastes 4:9 “Two are better than one because they have a good reward for their efforts.”
Genesis 2:5 “No shrub of the field had yet [grown] on the land, and no plant of the field had yet sprouted, for the LORD God had not made it rain on the land, and there was no man to work the ground.”
All intelligent creations were created to perform tangible works.
<em.Genesis 2:15 “The LORD God took the man and placed him in the garden of Eden to work it and watch over it.”
So he – Man was created outside the Sacred Garden, but like the angelic class, all were created to do work where they were placed – position wise in creation.
1 Timothy 3:16 ” And most certainly, the mystery of godliness is great: He was manifested in the flesh, justified in the Spirit, seen by angels, preached among the Gentiles, believed on in the world, taken up in glory.”
Literally taken up. Not thought up, but physically taken up in glory.
Now think about this when you ponder “real effort.” What was required to cast Satan and his demons out of heaven? Was it a mere thought on our Mother’s part? Or was that the catalyst that led to their expulsion by physical exertion on Michael’s and his deputies part? Did they simply say “Be cast down!:” and it occurred, or did a fierce battle wage for the removal that required effort?
Revelation 12:7, 8 “The Dragon Thrown Out of Heaven
Then war broke out in heaven: Michael and his angels fought against the dragon. The dragon and his angels also fought, but he could not prevail, and there was no place for them in heaven any longer.”
Fighting requires much effort on either side of the veil. Since neither side fought with mere thought, neither could simply win by thought alone. It required universal effort.
Regina: Does this also tie in with Faith and Works being required to be like our Mother? And about how Faith and Works tie in together? The thought that comes to mind is that it is good to have Faith, but it requires Work too in order to sustain it and without Work even Faith will fade away. And in regards to living in harmony and loving one another – these things take faith and works too – without them, harmony fades away like the last note of a song, and true love fades away as well until you’re left only with the fools gold that the tin god Satan offers to those willing to follow him.
Joe: Yes it does. A thought is not a sin in itself. It is instead the action taken. As with Satan’s overt action. If you look upon a woman or man with adultery in your mind, then unless you dismiss that thought you will carry through on committing adultery. That’s why Christ said those that had it in their hearts had already committed the act. But what he left out was the dismissal of the thought. Remember this and it will keep your mind straight on the difference: Did Eve long for the forbidden fruit? Yes she did. So her mind was set on that tree’s fruit, yet she had committed no sin until what happened? She took action and touched the fruit, which was also against Mother’s law to even touch it. Now she had committed sin by her physical effort to reach and touch the fruit. Next, she ate the fruit. She consumed what she had touched. Two warnings disregarded. But her downfall started with longing for what she was not entitled to. Just as Christ noted about committing adultery in the mind and heart, because he knew it would eventually lead to physical action on the part of the person longing for what did not belong to them. And reasonably, anyone can have an improper thought, but it does not mean they have sinned. If they do not recognize the thought is improper, then they are not knowledgeable enough to recognize the difference, and are not accountable if they cannot determine it is sinful. There are however extenuating circumstances. and Mother is the final judge over those that believe a lie. But even so, there are holy perfected creations that also have improper thoughts pop into their minds, and when it happens they simply dismiss the thoughts and move on with their lives. Dwelling on a thought is what brings sin because it is eventually manifested by action. What happens is that the thought manifests within the mind. From there, if you do not dismiss it, it moves down into the heart. Then you have a coupling effect of mind and heart. Next comes the fulfillment to please a longing heart. This makes a third-union of mind, heart and body. The body is needed to carry out the action.
It is like with someone who commit suicide. People commit suicide every day, and they are passed over. They find themselves in the hands of holy ghosts that lead them to the Edge of Light House of Worship for counseling. After being there, many go on to the city of refuge set up for them to help them get beyond the personal hate and or ill feelings they might have for themselves. But many also eventually move on to become holy ghosts, and some even later on have become holy angels. Suicide itself is not an unforgivable sin. The sin is in knowing better because of being enlightened and then trying to force Mother into accepting the action you might have chosen. Not knowing better from instinct does not null out passing over. Many people kill themselves in drug induced states, or they are mentally depressed. Those people are given latitude. Even some people have been forgiven that ended their loved ones lives that were on life support, and then killed themselves because of the mercy action they took upon that loved one and found they could not live with those thoughts of having taken that action.. So everything is judged by many things, but being knowledgeable is the thing that will cause the loss of eternal life if you knowingly go against Mother’s Will. With knowledge comes responsibility. That is why the Word says it’s better to have never known the truth than to come to know it and then turn your back on it. And that’s what happens when a person disregards Mother’s Will for their own desires, no matter how good they might feel their intentions are. In essence you are taking things out of Her hands and handling your existence on your own terms.
You gave a good summary Regina.
All must learn the truth in its completeness. Long ago Mother entrusted the Truth to Her once faithful witnesses. But their Shepherds went astray. However, Mother does not love that flock any less. It is the Shepherds She holds accountable, because they were Her chosen people. And there are many people throughout the world that have pure hearts in Her eyes that have never seen the inside of a church. This is why She alone examines the hearts, because the heart holds the outcome of each individual. Mother freely gives wisdom to those that seek Her in humbleness. Please keep seeking.
Signs From Above
“He rescues and delivers, He performs signs and wonders in the heavens and on the earth, for He has rescued Daniel from the power of the lions.” Daniel 6:27
Signs Down Below
But know this: difficult times will come in the last days. For people will be lovers of self, lovers of money, boastful, proud, blasphemers, disobedient to parents, ungrateful, unholy, unloving, irreconcilable, slanderers, without self-control, brutal, without love for what is good, traitors, reckless, conceited, lovers of pleasure rather than lovers of God, holding to the form of religion but denying its power. 2 Timothy 3:1-5
Signs in Humanity
The mission of Arks of Safe Haven is to connect via an extensive network and online message board forum, those individuals and families who have been affected by recent economic downfalls and are in need with those individuals who are ready, willing and capable of providing assistance to those in need with employment, shelter, work, food, clothing and other necessities.
Coupled with our primary mission of delivering the Kingdom Message of Salvation, the assistance of Arks of Safe Haven is available to all who are in need. Our purposeful intention is to follow in the footsteps of Christ as our example, by providing hope to the hopeless and answering the prayers of those who have been forced to live outside of society.
How You Can Help?
In order to provide for those whose outcry of prayers have reached our heavenly Father’s ears, Arks of Safe Haven is seeking out those who are able to provide shelter, whether it be an extra bedroom, empty rental property or a work for room and board agreement. Additionally, we also act as a liaison in connecting those with tangible items to donate to those in need like Food, Water, Clothing, & Other Personal Items. We pray that your heart is motivated to make a contribution, no matter how small. Visit http://www.arksofsafehaven.org and view the many posts from those in need to see if you’re able to help with advice, prayers or goods & services.
Signs in Natural Disasters
“You are going to hear of wars and rumors of wars. See that you are not alarmed, because these things must take place, but the end is not yet. For nation will rise up against nation, and kingdom against kingdom. There will be famines and earthquakes in various places.” Matthew 24:6-7
5.0 NORTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA
5.1 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES
5.0 LAKE RUDOLF REGION, KENYA-SUDAN
5.0 OFFSHORE BIO-BIO, CHILE
5.7 BIO-BIO, CHILE
5.2 COQUIMBO, CHILE
5.5 BOUGAINVILLE REGION, P.N.G.
5.0 BANDA SEA
5.9 KEP. MENTAWAI REGION, INDONESIA
6.1 KEP. MENTAWAI REGION, INDONESIA
5.1 KEP. MENTAWAI REGION, INDONESIA
5.2 KEP. MENTAWAI REGION, INDONESIA
7.6 KEP. MENTAWAI REGION, INDONESIA
5.1 SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA, INDONESIA
5.7 MOLUCCA SEA
5.0 GULF OF CALIFORNIA
5.3 MARIANA ISLANDS REGION
5.5 KEP. MENTAWAI REGION, INDONESIA
5.3 KEP. MENTAWAI REGION, INDONESIA
5.0 KEP. MENTAWAI REGION, INDONESIA
5.0 SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA, INDONESIA
5.2 SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA, INDONESIA
5.5 SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA, INDONESIA
5.0 SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA, INDONESIA
5.4 WEST CHILE RISE
5.0 SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA, INDONESIA
5.3 SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA, INDONESIA
5.1 SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA, INDONESIA
5.0 SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA, INDONESIA
5.0 GUAM REGION
5.3 SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION
5.0 CENTRAL MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE
5.2 HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN
6.1 NEW IRELAND REGION, P.N.G.
5.1 BANDA SEA
5.4 GULF OF CALIFORNIA
5.1 SOLOMON ISLANDS
5.1 SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN
Earthquake counts go up as moon comes closer to earth – Seismologists in India have found that the earthquake counts go up steadily when the moon comes closer to the Earth (perigee) and also when there is a Full Moon. The scientists have also found that major earthquakes occur more often when perigee coincides with Full Moon and New Moon, going up to a magnitude of 6.0 on the Richter scale. Earthquake counts also go down during the day and are at a minimum in the afternoon (between 3 pm and 4 pm) and then steadily go up till midnight. “This typical signature of the diurnal seismicity plots (DSP) seem to be consistent for the global earthquake data for different periods, seasons, longitudes and depths. The drop in earthquake counts during the day reduces for latitudes away from the equators.”
Experts fear the next big earthquake to strike California could 40-50 times as destructive as the 1989 Northridge quake. The “Big One,” a potential major earthquake on the San Andreas fault that runs through the Coachella Valley, could be stronger, up to 8.1 magnitude and could rupture a much longer area than previously predicted.
HAITI – The January 12 earthquake in Haiti failed to release all the tension in a notorious seismic fault, leaving its capital exposed to the risk of another seismic disaster, US scientists reported Sunday. The magnitude 7.0 event, which killed a quarter of a million Haitians, occurred to the west of the capital Port-au-Prince. The culprit was initially thought to be a well-known but poorly understood fault called the Enriquillo-Plantain Garden Zone, where 7.0 quakes occurred in 1751 and 1770. The complex 270-kilometre (168-mile) -long fault runs along one of the narrow western prongs of the island of Hispaniola, which Haiti shares with the Dominican Republic.
A team of geologists say assumptions that the EPGZ was to blame may be wrong. They found plenty of evidence of ground rupture, uplifted land and diverted streams that must have occurred in the 18th-century shakes — but nothing similar that could be pinned to the 2010 event. While not unprecedented in seismology, this is HIGHLY UNUSUAL, for the January quake was very big and ocurred close to the surface. One suggestion is that the EPGZ did indeed slip, but at depth, while another is that the quake occurred on a “blind” sub-parallel structure.
Either way, the visual observations and the computer models all indicate that the January quake did not ease the nearly two and a half centuries of accumulated strain at the EPGZ’s surface.
“The EPGZ remains a serious seismic hazard for Haiti, particularly for the Port-au-Prince area.” It raised special concern over a 110-km (65-mile) stretch that runs from Lake Miragoane in the west to Dumay in the east, tracking just south of the Haitan capital. “These sections of the fault remain capable of generating an earthquake of up to 7.0 magnitude and, in the case of the Momance and Dumay sections, which are closer to Port-au-Prince, potentially causing stronger ground shaking in the urban area than the January 12 event.”
On October 10, a separate team of geologists found that the January gave only “limited” release to the EPGZ.
Neither study gave any indication of when this feared earthquake could occur. Seismologists say they are gaining more and knowledge about how earthquakes happen and are better at predicting the magnitude of some kinds of quakes. But pinpointing, even roughly, when these events will happen remains elusive.
Australian officials in Indonesia are working to determine if any Australians were affected by an undersea quake at a popular surfing spot off Sumatra’s west coast. The 7.7-magnitude quake hit Kepulauan Mentawai at 9:42pm local time yesterday. A group of surfers, including nine Australians, were reportedly forced to jump from their boat when a three-metre-high wave forced another boat into their craft, causing an explosion. Some of them were swept inland by the wave and sheltered in high trees until they were rescued by another boat some time later.
The quake was followed by several powerful aftershocks but there have been no reports of serious damage or casualties. A tsunami warning was issued but later cancelled. The quake also shook the West Sumatran capital of Padang, sending panicked residents into the streets. More than 1100 people were killed when a powerful quake hit near Padang last year.
INDONESIA – No injuries or damage have been reported from a magnitude 7.5 earthquake that struck the Kepulauan Mentawai region of Indonesia, about 150 miles (240 kilometers) away from Padang, Sumatra and 395 miles from Singapore. Telephone communication isn’t operating, but the reason is unkown. The quake was centered at a depth of 20.5 miles. A local tsunami watch is in effect, but a “destructive widespread tsunami threat” does not exist.
Moderate earthquake rattles central China – A 4.7 earthquake leveled 24 homes and injured 12 students in central China. The quake struck Zhoukou City about 5 p.m. Sunday. About 40 homes were reported to have cracks or other damage in Kugou County.
A magnitude 4.6 earthquake hit northwest Wyoming Sunday, apparently triggering a landslide on a hiking trail, but no injuries were reported. The US Geological Survey said the quake hit at about 11:45 a.m. Several hours later, an aftershock with a magnitude of 4.0 was recorded. Both tremors were shallow and centered about 20 miles northeast of Jackson in Teton County. Rangers were investigating reports that a landslide covered about a quarter-mile of a trail in the national forest near the epicenter. The landslide reportedly stopped short of a highway in the area. Several earthquakes have rattled the region in the past few months. A series of quakes were reported in the Jackson area in August. The Jackson area is part of a seismically active region in which earthquakes are common. It includes rock formations that are slowly being deformed, producing active faults.
CALIFORNIA – Experts puzzled over RARE quake in Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta. It was a small earthquake, measuring just 3.1 on the Richter scale, but its location in the heart of the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta has experts buzzing. The Oct. 15 quake at 4:04 a.m was centered 7 miles northwest of Lathrop, on Union Island. No faults are known to exist in that area, where earthquakes are rare. The temblor could offer new insights on safety issues in the Delta, where concerns about flood protection and water quality during a major quake have been growing. It is also a reminder that many mysteries lurk below ground – even in California, a nucleus of earthquake research. “It was a surprise to us,” said a geophysicist at the U.S. Geological Survey who is studying the quake. “There’s something down there that we don’t know about.”
Recent studies estimate that one-third of the Delta’s 70-some islands could flood in a magnitude 6.5 or greater earthquake due to levee failures. There is at least a 62 percent chance of such a quake striking the Bay-Delta region in the next 20 years. This vulnerability is a statewide concern. Delta water diversions irrigate about 3 million acres of California farmland, and 25 million people depend on the estuary for at least some of their drinking water. Widespread levee failures could contaminate that freshwater supply, perhaps for a year or longer.
It is not uncommon for quakes to occur where a fault has not been identified. In September 2000, for instance, a 5.0-magnitude quake struck in Napa on an unmapped fault, damaging a number of buildings. A key difference in this case is that earthquakes of any sort are rare within the Delta. Like Sacramento, the Delta is considered seismically tame compared to the Bay Area. About four years ago, USGS installed a network of seismic sensors in the Delta to better assess the risks. They found that ground motion in the Delta during a quake is as much as 10 times greater than areas outside the Delta. Basically, this means the Delta shakes more, likely because of the loose nature of the Delta’s peat and sand soils. This could make its levees more vulnerable to collapse. Most research on quake risk in the Delta has focused on the threat from faults outside the estuary, notably the Hayward fault. But the Oct. 15 quake is a reminder that the Delta has its own faults, about which relatively little is known. All the mapped faults in the Delta are known as “blind” faults because they don’t appear on the surface – likely because its peat and sand soils are deep and relatively fluid. A geologist believes there is a major north-south fault beneath the Delta that has yet to be mapped. “I think the seismic risk in the Delta has been underestimated, and we don’t understand it. There may well be older pockets of peat buried in the Delta, and those might increase the seismic shaking.” (map)
PAKISTAN – A moderate earthquake Thursday rattled northern Pakistan’, injuring five children. Jolts with a magnitude of 5.7 on the Richter Scale were felt across the north-western province of Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa as well as in the capital Islamabad. The quake occurred at a depth of about 172 kilometers and its epicentre was located at the Afghanistan-Tajikistan border about 280 kilometers north-west of Peshawar, the provincial capital of Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa. At least five schoolchildren were injured when the roof of their class room collapsed in Shabqadar district. At least 73,000 people were killed and several hundred thousand became homeless in October 2005, when a strong earthquake shook northern Pakistan and the Himalayan region of Kashmir.
COLUMBIA, INDONESIA – Galeras in Colombia appeared to be increasing its activity this week. Seismicity, gas emissions and a renewed thermal anomaly at the volcano all point towards a potential eruption at Galeras*. The Alert Status at the volcanoremains at Yellow (below Orange and Red). Galeras has has two periods this year (August and February) of increased eruptive activity.
Meanwhile, over in Indonesia, it appears that Sinabung and Merapi are both steaming away. There isn’t much in the way of details of their current activity, but there is still news about the refugees from the initial evacuation of the area near Sinabung. The volcano might have seemed to settled down and left the news, but many refugees have not been allowed to return home as the volcano continues to be restless – leading to corruption in the camps. The threat of Merapi producing a significant eruption seems to be up as well. Volunteers are already getting prepared for an eruption of the volcano and evacuation centers are being set up for potential refugees, which would be its first since 2007. Merapi has shown increased seismicity, continued inflation and repeated plumes from the summit crater. This week, the Volcanological Survey of Indonesia placed Merapi on a level III alert (of V) and activity near the volcano has been banned – meaning over 39,000 people will need to be evacuated. Merapi produced an eruption in 1930 that killed over 1,300 people.
Mt. Merapi may erupt in a more explosive way than its previous eruptions, head of the Volcanology and Geological Disaster Mitigation Center warns. “Merapi tends to form a lava dome before it erupts, but our data shows there was an explosive eruption without prior formation of a dome.” Deviation of the eruption pattern took place in 1930 and 1931, which affected areas in a radius of over 15 kilometers from the peak. “It caused an ash rain that reached as far as Malang and Madura Island in East Java.” The center increased on Friday the volcano’s alert status to the second highest level following its increasing volcanic activities. ” Merapi has never broken its promise. Eruption, whether explosive or not, will cap its volcanic activities.”
COLUMBIA – Gas Explosion from Colombia Mud Volcano Sparks Panic. A burst of flammable gas from a mud volcano late Monday in northwestern Colombia destroyed a small area of nearby crops and killed a few farm animals while sending nearby residents rushing for safety. Several people sustained minor injuries near the town of Arboletes during the brief panic. “Just after 8:30 in the evening, we saw a high flame that lit the sky. When we went to check, we realized that there was an eruption of mud.” The blast came from an “old volcano” that has produced several eruptions, including one four years ago that was very strong. Monday’s explosion was THE WORST IN MEMORY. That fiery blast prompted officials to move 14 nearby homes to a safer distance from the natural geologic feature. Officials credit that move with the lack of any fatalities from Monday’s explosive venting. An eruption three years ago spewed only mud. Mud volcanos are different from their igneous counterparts in that they are created by the expulsion of liquids and gasses, rather than lava. A slurry of mud and gas is a common product of a mud volcano eruption, sometimes including fiery bursts of methane and other gases. (photo)
HAWAII – Kilauea volcano eruption health impact continues after two years. Scientists are still working to alleviate effects of noxious gases released from the eruption in Hawaii.
INDONESIA – Mount Merapi’s Swelling Signals Huge Eruption, Scientists Warn. Lava from Mount Merapi in Central Java began flowing down the Gendol River over the weekend, signaling an eruption could be imminent, a geologist said on Sunday. The volcano, one of the world’s most active, last erupted in June 2006 shortly after the Yogyakarta earthquake, when a pyroclastic flow, or a fast-moving cloud of superheated gas, ran down its slopes and killed two people. But the distension of the mountain’s slopes was much more rapid this time around, indicating a higher-pressure build-up of gas and hence a much more explosive eruption. “We believe Merapi will erupt explosively, as it did in 1930, and not just spew gas like in 2006. However, that scenario is only a guess. No one really knows when Merapi will erupt and how much volcanic material it will spew out.”
The eruption in 1930 wiped out 13 villages on the slopes of the mountain, killing around 1,400 people. The alert status for Merapi is currently “standby,” just one level below the alert for an eruption. Thick clouds and mist over the weekend had prevented a team from measuring the mountain’s distension. On Thursday, the volcanic cone was observed to be expanding by 8.5 centimeters a day, while on Friday the rate had picked up to 16.4 centimeters a day. “We’ve also seen a dramatic increase in the number of multiphase volcanic earthquakes, from 321 on Friday to 525 on Saturday. Lava spurts have also increased, from 93 on Friday to 183 on Saturday. We’re now on standby mode around the clock.”
About 53,600 people in the districts of Magelang, Boyolali, Klaten and Sleman were at risk and would have to be evacuated. 22 temporary shelters had been set up. “The mountain never really fully erupts, it just kind of melts. I hope Mount Merapi doesn’t erupt this time. But we’ll still prepare evacuation plans for residents.”
INDONESIA –The death toll from the eruption of Indonesia’s Mount Merapi rose to 25, including an elder known as the volcano’s spiritual gatekeeper. The traditional gatekeeper was found dead in his burnt house about 4km (2.5 miles) from the peak. Yesterday’s eruption of Mount Merapi forced thousands to flee down its slopes and spewed burning ash and smoke high into the air on the island of Java.
There are fears of fresh eruptions. Experts said that the ash levels had subsided a little, but that their readings suggested there would be more volcanic activity soon. Pressure building up under a “lava dome” inside the volcano threatens further devastation. “This the largest hazard at Merapi. It builds up as a sticky lava, where it builds up into a dome. At some point either there’s an explosion from below that causes it to collapse, or a simple addition of lava causes it to collapse. And this sends large, hot blocks of solidified lava down the slopes.” This “pyroclastic flow” is highly dangerous both in its heat and the poison of the gases.
Thousands fled their homes on Tuesday as ash spewed out of the volcano, turning the landscape white. But many people refused to leave, and rescuers fear the death toll may rise. One rescuer feared up to 50 could have been killed. Although 10,000 people had been evacuated, many had stayed behind. “Several houses and cattle have been burned by the hot cloud from the mountain. All the houses are blanketed in ash, completely white. The leaves have been burned off the trees.” Experts hope the volcano, some 500km (310 miles) south-east of Jakarta on Indonesia’s most heavily populated island, Java, will release steam slowly rather than erupt in a big blast. Authorities are continuing to move away thousands of local villagers living near the volcano, but it is proving to be difficult. Many villagers ignored warnings because they were reluctant to leave homes and farms nattended. Many victims at a local hospital had severe burns.
On Monday, officials monitoring the volcano had raised the alert for Mt Merapi to the highest possible level. It erupted just before dusk on Tuesday. Since then, more than 600 volcanic earthquakes have been recorded around the mountain. “We heard three explosions around 1800 (1100 GMT) spewing volcanic material as high as 1.5km (one mile) and sending heat clouds down the slopes.” This eruption was more powerful than the volcano’s last blast, in 2006, which killed two people. In 1930 another powerful eruption wiped out 13 villages, killing more than 1,000 people. (photos & map)
INDONESIA – About 800 miles (1,300 kilometers) to the east of the tsunami hit area, in central Java the Mount Merapi volcano was mostly quiet but still a threat after Tuesday’s eruption that sent searing ash clouds into the air, killing at least 33 people and injuring 17. A mass burial was planned for later Thursday. Among the dead was a revered elder who had refused to leave his ceremonial post as caretaker of the mountain’s spirits. The discovery Wednesday of his ash-covered body, reportedly found in a position of Islamic prayer, kneeling face-down on the floor, rattled residents who for years joined his ceremonies to appease the rumbling giant by throwing rice, clothes and chickens into the crater. “I’m more afraid than ever,” said a farmer from the mountain village of Pangukrejo. “Who’s going to tell us what’s going on with Merapi?”
On the ash-covered slopes of Mount Merapi, authorities continued a search for more victims. The eruption sent thousands streaming into makeshift emergency shelters, although the ash did not disrupt flights over Indonesia. About 36,000 people have been evacuated. Some defied authorities and returned home to check on crops and possessions left behind. More than 11,000 people live on Merapi’s fertile slopes. Tuesday’s blast eased pressure that had been building behind a lava dome on the crater. Experts warned that the dome could still collapse, causing an avalanche of the blistering gas and debris trapped beneath it.
Two volcanoes have erupted on Russia’s far-eastern Kamchatka Peninsula, tossing massive ash clouds kilometres into the air, forcing flights to divert and blanketing one town with thick, heavy ash.
The Klyuchevskaya Sopka, Eurasia’s highest active volcano, exploded Thursday along with the Shiveluch volcano, 70km to the northeast. Ash clouds from the remote volcanoes billowed up to 10km and were spreading east across the Pacific Ocean. Streams of lava flowed down the slopes of Shiveluch. Emissions have “intermittently complicated air travel” in the area of the Kamchatkan Peninsula. Several pilots have reported seeing ash clouds in the Alaskan region.
Volcanic ash blanketed the nearby town of Ust-Kamchatsk, reducing visibility to only a few metres and turning buildings ghostly white. Ust-Kamchatsk is 70km east of Shiveluch and 120km northeast of Klyuchevskaya Sopka, and winds blew ash from both on the town.Emergency officials said the town’s 5000 residents weren’t in any immediate danger but urged them to stay indoors and tightly close doors and windows to avoid inhaling ash particles that could lead to respiratory illnesses and allergic reactions. Schools and businesses in Ust-Kamchatsk quickly closed and all streets were shut down to traffic. Scientists warned that ashes will likely continue falling on the area for at least 10 days.
Shiveluch quietened down later on Thursday but Klyuchevskaya Sopka, which stands 4750 metres high, kept erupting. The Emergency Situations Ministry warned that another volcano across the peninsula to the south, Gorely, has begun spewing gases and could erupt any moment. Gorely is located about 70km south of Kamchatka’s regional capital, Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky.
TSUNAMI / FREAK WAVES / ABNORMAL TIDES / RISING SEA LEVELS –
INDONESIA – Rescue teams are battling to reach hundreds of people believed to be missing a day after a tsunami struck small islands off the coast of Sumatra. The tsunami was caused by a 7.7-magnitude earthquake late on Monday. Waves reached 3m (10ft) high and the water swept inland as far as 600m on South Pagai. A 3m-high wave crashed into the Mentawai islands, leaving more than 100 people dead and 500 missing. Rescuers continue to be hampered by bad weather and aftershocks from the quake that caused the tsunami. Rough seas were making it difficult to ship aid to the Mentawai islands from Padang, the nearest major port on Sumatra. Forecasters say the bad weather is likely to continue in the coming days. About 4,000 households had been displaced by the tsunami, and many people fled to higher ground. Most buildings in the South Pagai coastal village of Betu Monga have been destroyed. “Of the 200 people living in that village, only 40 have been found – 160 are still missing, mostly women and children. We have people reporting to the security post here that they could not hold on to their children, that they were swept away. A lot of people are crying.”
More than 1,000 people were killed by an earthquake off Sumatra in September 2009. In December 2004, a 9.1-magnitude quake off the coast of Aceh triggered a tsunami in the Indian Ocean that killed a quarter of a million people in 13 countries including Indonesia, Sri Lanka, India and Thailand. (map & photos)
INDONESIA – Fears are growing for the 379 people who are still missing in the aftermath of a tsunami which hit Indonesia on Monday. The death toll from a tsunami which struck a remote chain of islands has topped 311. Officials said the number could rise significantly because so many people were still unaccounted for. Bodies were being found on beaches and coastal areas of the Mentawai islands off the western coast of Sumatra, which took the full force of the tsunami triggered by an earthquake on Monday night.
Survivors said they had almost no warning that the 10-foot wall of water was bearing down on them, despite the laying of a sophisticated network of alarm buoys off the Sumatran coast. As the magnitude of the disaster sank in, many were asking whether the expensive warning system – established after the 2004 Asian tsunami which killed at least 168,000 people in Indonesia alone – had failed. An official tsunami warning was issued after the 7.7-magnitude quake but it either came too late or did not reach the communities in most danger. One survivor said that the wave slammed into his community on North Pagai island only 10 minutes after residents had felt the quake. “About 10 minutes after the quake we heard a loud, thunderous sound. We went outside and saw the wave coming. We tried to run away to higher ground but the wave was much quicker than us.” Several continental plates meet in a deep ocean trench off the western coast of Sumatra, providing a constant source of seismic friction and potential disaster.
Aerial images from the tsunami-hit Mentawai Islands in Indonesia have revealed the extent of destruction. Flattened villages are plainly visible on the images, taken from helicopters circling the islands. Rescuers have finally reached the area where 13 villages were washed away by the 3m (10ft) wave, but 11 more settlements have not yet been reached. Rescue teams have still not arrived at the worst-affected communities, where the scale of the damage is still unclear.
The first cargo plane loaded with tents, medicine, food and clothes landed on the islands on Wednesday.
But officials have had less luck transporting goods by boat, some 175km (110 miles) across choppy seas from Padang. Rescue teams dispatched to the island were unable to send back adequate reports because lines of communication with the remote islands were so bad. Local disaster officials said more than 400 people were still missing, and 16,000 refugees had been moved to higher ground from the coastal areas. The first images emerging from the islands, taken on mobile phones, showed bodies being collected from empty clearings where homes and buildings once stood. Corpses were strewn along beaches and roads.
Locals were given no indication of the coming wave because an early-warning system put in place after the devastating 2004 tsunami had stopped working. Two buoys off the Mentawai islands were vandalised and out of service. “We don’t say they are broken down but they were vandalised and the equipment is very expensive. It cost us five billion rupiah each (£353,000; $560,000). However, even a functioning warning system may have been too late for people in the Mentawai Islands.
INDONESIA – The combined death toll from twin Indonesian disasters topped 400 today, with the tsunami toll rising to 394 and volcanic activity resuming. Hopes dimmed for another 312 still listed as missing. 33 people were killed by the volcano that erupted Tuesday more than 1300km to the east in central Java. Jolted awake by the powerful earthquake survivors ran with their screaming neighbors to high ground. They watched as the sea first receded and then came roaring back “like a big wall” that swept away their entire village. “Suddenly trees, houses and all things in the village were sucked into the sea and nothing was left.” Rescue teams “believe many, many of the bodies were swept to sea.”
Mount Merapi began rumbling again Thursday after a lull that allowed mourners to hold a mass burial for its victims. There were no reports of new injuries or damage. It was unclear whether the new activity was a sign of another major blast to come.
The catastrophes struck within 24 hours in different parts of the seismically active country, severely testing Indonesia’s emergency response network. Aid workers trickling into the remote region found giant chunks of coral and rocks in places where homes once stood. Huge swaths of land were submerged. Swollen corpses dotted roads and beaches. In a rare bright spot, an 18-month-old baby was found alive Wednesday in a clump of trees on Pagai Selatan. One of the hardest hit areas with 65 dead was the village of Pro Rogat, on Pagai Seatandug island. Officials say a multimillion-dollar tsunami warning system that uses buoys to detect sudden changes in water levels broke down a month ago because it was not being properly maintained. The system was installed after a monster 2004 quake and tsunami that killed 230,000 people in a dozen countries. A German official at the project disputed there was a breakdown, saying Monday’s 7.7-magnitude quake’s epicenter was too close to the Mentawai islands for residents to get the warning before the killer wave hit.
TROPICAL STORMS –
Tropical storm Richard was strengthening Saturday as it approached Honduras. Richard was forecast to become a hurricane on Sunday. The centre of the storm was expected to pass near the northeastern coast of Honduras late Saturday and could approach the coasts of Belize and southeastern Mexico early Sunday. A hurricane warning was in effect for Honduras and Belize. The NHC said tropical storm conditions were possible for the Caribbean coast of Guatemala. Richard formed last weekend over the Caribbean and became a tropical storm late Wednesday. In October 1998, Hurricane Mitch stayed over the Gulf of Honduras for five days, causing heavy rain that claimed thousands of lives and caused great damage in Nicaragua, Honduras, El Salvador and Costa Rica.
Deadly typhoon Megi hits China – ONE OF THE STRONGEST STORMS TO HIT THE REGION IN YEARS. Torrential rain and gale-force winds lashed southern China on Saturday as Typhoon Megi made landfall after killing at least 48 people as it roared through the Philippines and battered Taiwan. State television broadcast images of strong winds bending trees double in the southeastern province of Fujian, where billboards had toppled down and large waves whipped the coast. Roads in the city of Zhangzhou, which lies in the path of the storm, were flooded by torrential rain.
China’s national meteorological centre confirmed that Megi had reached the coast and warned people not to venture out. As it edged into China, Megi was downgraded to a strong tropical storm and weather authorities said it would continue to weaken as it made its way north. But they warned people in Fujian and neighbouring Zhejiang province to be aware of the danger of floods and mudslides. Provincial flood control authorities said more people would have to be evacuated as the storm made its way into China.
Typhoon Megi triggers deadly Taiwan landslides – Multiple landslides hit a coastal highway in Taiwan, stranding cars and buses. A tourist bus was feared buried and three people were killed in multiple landslides as Typhoon Megi brought torrential rain to Taiwan. A torrent of mud struck a Buddhist temple in Suao, killing three people and leaving six more missing. The landslides stranded 400 drivers; half have now been taken to safety. In Taiwan, Megi brought 45 inches (114 cm) of rain to Ilan county in the northeast over a 48-hour period.
Typhoon Megi caused havoc in the Philippines, killing at least 26 people and causing extensive damage to houses in some regions. Vehicles were swept off roads and people were stranded as the storm hit. (photos)
Tropical Depression “Katring” entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Saturday and may hit northern Luzon by Tuesday. ‘Katring’ could gain strength as it moves closer to land. Although forecasters say it is not expected to make landfall, it can bring rains to parts of Luzon and Visayas. It is bearing winds of 55 kilometers per hour near the center and moving west southwest at a speed of 15 kilometers per hour.
There is a chance for Katrina to weaken when it meets the northwest monsoon. If it makes landfall, it is likely to hit the provinces of Cagayan, Isabela and Aurora, the same areas ravaged by typhoon Juan (international codename: Megi). Meanwhile, rains will prevail over most parts of the country as ‘Juan’ continues to interact with the southwest monsoon. More rains are expected on Tuesday as ‘Katring’ moves closer to Luzon.
Category 4 Cyclone GIGI – At least one person has been killed and thousands affected after a powerful cyclone made landfall on the western coast of Myanmar Friday morning.
Hurricane Richard slammed into Belize’s Caribbean coast just south of its largest city late today, as authorities evacuated tourists from outlying islands and an estimated 10,000 people took refuge at shelters in the tiny Central American nation. Richard’s top winds were 150km/h – making it a Category 1 hurricane – when it made landfall about 35km south-southwest of Belize City, whose neighbourhoods are full of wooden, tin-roof homes that are very vulnerable to winds. “The winds are very strong … it’s getting stronger.”
Palm trees were bending over in the wind and it had become very noisy. Richard was moving west-northwest at about 17km/h and hurricane-force winds extended up to 30km from its centre. Belize City was devastated by Hurricane Hattie in 1961, prompting officials to move the capital inland to Belmopan. But Belize City is still the nation’s largest population centre, with about 100,000 inhabitants – a third of the country’s population.
Earlier, Richard dumped heavy rains on Honduras’ Caribbean coast and the Bay Islands. Observers reported winds of up to 93km/h on Roatan, and more than 90 people took refuge in shelters in the Bay Islands, which lie between Honduras and Belize. No deaths or injuries had been reported in Honduras so far.
Tropical Storm Katring (international codename: Chaba) intensified further on Monday morning even as it continued its north northwest path. Katring is still too far to affect any part of the Philippines. Katring was estimated at 810 km east of Northern Luzon, with maximum winds of 75 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 90 kph. It was moving in a north northwest direction at 7 kph and is expected to be 720 km east of Northern Luzon Tuesday morning. By Wednesday morning, it is forecast to be 660 km east-northeast of Northern Luzon, and 700 km northeast of Northern Luzon by Thursday morning. No storm signals have been raised.
Tropical storm “Katring” (Chaba) intensified further as it headed north-northwest and is now more likely to make landfall over Southern Japan. It is moving away from the Philippines and heading toward the southern islands of Japan. With this, Katring has virtually no more chance of making landfall on Philippine territory.
Some Philippine provinces may still be rainy. Meanwhile, gates remained open in three dams in northern Luzon, including the Ambuklao in Benguet; Binga in Benguet; and Magat in Isabela. Ambuklao kept two gates open as water levels as of 6 a.m. Tuesday remained at 751.53 meters, less than one meter below the 752-meter spilling level. Binga kept two gates open as water levels as of 6 a.m. Tuesday were at 574.40 meters, barely below the 575-meter spilling level.
A RECORD-BREAKING MID-LATITUDE CYCLONE pushed its way through the Midwest Tuesday, quickly becoming the STRONGEST NON-TROPICAL STORM SYSTEM IN RECORDED U.S. HISTORY. This “landicane” has rapidly deepened to a central pressure of 955mb, causing blizzard conditions in North Dakota, hurricane force winds across the Great Lakes, and tornado watches from western New York all the way to Mississippi. So far, 18 tornadoes have been reported, along with more than 200 reports of high winds.
Now heading for Greater New York, the primary threat for them from this storm will be a chance of thunderstorms Wednesday morning, accompanied by straight-line winds up to 50 mph. This is the same storm system that has been keeping their temperatures well above normal for the first part of the week. While they may get a stray wind gust briefly Wednesday morning, the center of this storm will remain hundreds of miles away in Canada. So even though the storm remains at RECORD LEVELS OF INTENSITY, the “pressure gradient” force will remain weak over Greater New York.
The storm has already beat out other infamous extratropical cyclones in intensity, including the “Edumund Fitzgerald” storm of 1975, the “Storm of the Century” of 1993,” and the “Perfect Storm” of 1991. The satellite images coming in from this current storm system so far look like something straight out of “The Day After Tomorrow”. Quite literally, THE ENTIRE CONTINENT’S ATMOSPHERE EAST OF THE ROCKIES IS ENVELOPED IN THIS STORM’S CIRCULATION right now.
Tropical cyclone Giri caused more damage than predicted when it hit western Burma as a category 5 storm last Friday. Giri hit an isolated part of the country 250 miles northwest of the capital. With wind speeds up to 155 miles per hour, the storm was more powerful than Cyclone Nargis, which swept the country with 130 mph winds, claiming around 140,000 lives in 2008. The cyclone has affected about ten times more people than initially estimated.
“Over the weekend it looked like tens of thousands of people may be affected. We now estimate that 400,000 people have been affected.” High winds and tidal surges have destroyed many homes in coastal areas and lack of clean water in affected regions is increasing the risk of disease transmission. About 70,000 people were left homeless and 170,000 had been affected by Giri. The storm killed 27 and 15 are still missing.
Tidal surges as high as 12 feet brought by Cyclone Giri have killed nine people and washed away seven villages in Pauk Taw Township in Arakan State. The seven villages that were washed away by the surge are Byin Thit, Kyauk Mong, Pyin Gri, Nga Ree Chai, Ree Pike Chai, Thea Dwe, and Nga Mea Byint, which are located on small Inn Gra Chai Island in the East Phon Ron Ga Archipelago, south of Arakan State’s capital Sittwe. “As far as I know, all homes, monasteries and schools in the seven villages were washed away by a surge during the cyclone that hit the Arakan coast last Friday. The villages are now barren plains without any houses.” Over 20,000 people in Pauk Taw Township were affected by the surge but there has been no government relief since the storm struck six days ago.
In Pauk Taw Township, several other villages located on islands were also destroyed by the storm and tidal surges. Those villages are Byin Daung, Saw Mae Kyi, Kalar Thein, Zi Shwe Maw, Kan Byin, Nga Pyi Tat, Ponna Gyi, and Sun Bike Village on Myay Ngu Island. Burmese officials announced that 27 people were killed by Cyclone Giri when it hit the Arakan coast, but many people believe the confirmed death toll will be higher than that. A youth leader from Kyauk Pru, an area hit hard by the cyclone, said that the death has risen to 93. Among the casualties are nine residents from Pauk Taw, twelve from Min Bya, one from Kyauk Pru , and 71 from Mray Bon Township, where 80 fishing boats were reportedly sunk by the storm.
ATLANTIC – A nearly-stationary low pressure system in the eastern Atlantic Ocean could develop into Tropical Storm Shary.The system is located about 1,200 miles northwest of the northernmost Cape Verde Islands. The National Hurricane Center says it has become better organized. There is a 50 percent chance of this system becoming a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours and a 60% chance for a nearby one.
HEAVY RAINS / FLOODING / LANDSLIDES / UNUSUAL & OUT-OF-SEASON WEATHER –
ARGENTINA – At least six people have been killed and more than 116 injured after a massive tornado struck down in north of Argentina, destroying many residential areas. The tornado ripped through the town of Pozo del Tigre in the northern Argentine province of Formosa.
At least ten people are reported to have been in critical condition as rescue workers search the area for more victims. There are conflicting reports of the number of people feared missing. Officials are scrambling to spring the ravaged city back to life as they assess the immensity of the damage caused by the tornado.
Chicago faces possible WORST STORM IN 70 YEARS – A tremendous storm bearing down on Chicago has all the makings of a memorable event, weather forecasters predicted Monday. The storm, expected to hit in the pre-dawn Tuesday, could be the worst in decades. “Showers and thunderstorms are expected to arrive with the front early Tuesday morning which may reach severe levels with damaging wind gusts. Once the front passes, southwest winds will increase dramatically with speeds between 30 and 40 mph with gusts in excess of 55 mph possible Tuesday afternoon.”
The storm is being billed as the Great Lakes Cyclone. Though by definition not a tropical cyclone, forecasters say this cyclone has very low pressure and could go as low as 960 millibars — that’s the kind of low reading found in some of the most powerful hurricanes. “Storm force winds (48 knots or greater) are expected on Lake Michigan with significant waves up to around 20 feet on the north half and between 15 and 20 feet on the south half, with occasional higher waves.” For the record, it was a similar late-season storm that on Nov. 10, 1975 sank the Edmund Fitzgerald, scientists now say. Hurricane-force gusts and waves coming from an unexpected angle likely contributed to the disaster.
Strong, sustained winds also threaten to bring down power lines so Monday night Com Ed was staffing up. The utility is anticipating THE MOST SEVERE THREAT TO ITS ELECTRIC GRID IN DECADES. Com Ed has opened its emergency operations center, added crews and is telling them to expect to work 16-hour days to restore power outages caused by the wind storm.
While Chicago won’t have as much rain, forecasters expect dangerous wind gusts may be around for 36 hours or so. It’s expected to be a consistent pounding, lasting longer than most tropical storms or hurricanes. Some people were tying down anything that could fly Monday night. The danger is real. In 2002, 60 mile per hour wind gusts tore window washing equipment loose from the side of the John Hancock Building. It fell 43 stories, killing three people in cars below.
STRONGEST STORM IN MINNESOTA HISTORY? – Computer models are predicting today’s storm undergoing “bombo-genesis” near Duluth today, with a central pressure as low as 28.3″ by evening. If the computers verify, we may very well set a record for Minnesota’s strongest storm (measured via barometric pressure) on record. Some of the computer models intensify the storm over northeastern Minnesota to 960 millibars by Wednesday morning, that’s roughly 28.34 inches of mercury! The all-time record for low pressure is 28.42″ set on November 10, 1998. We may come very, very close. The reason? A strong north-south contrast in temperature, what meteorologists refer to as “baroclinicity” is setting the stage for an especially strong area of low pressure to develop near Duluth. The greater the contrast in temperature, the stronger the winds have to blow to keep the atmosphere in a state of equilibrium. That why winds in the tropics are usually light – very little in the way of temperature extremes within 2,000 miles of the equator (save for the occasional hurricane, of course).
A large number of states from South Dakota to Michigan & Ohio are under a high wind watch. (map)
U.S. – A powerful low pressure was stirring up the entire midwest Tuesday BREAKING RECORDS as it stormed in. The ALL-TIME LOWEST PRESSURE RECORD WAS BROKEN IN BOTH MINNESOTA AND WISCONSIN Tuesday morning. The low pressure system was still strengthening and the record could potentially have been even lower by later in the day. The record keeps dropping as the low strengthens. The record was first brokenTuesday morning in Aitkin at 28.42″ and then in the afternoon the record was broken again in Grand Rapids as the pressure dropped to 28.28″, and then the record was in Big Fork at 28.21″. The low is still strengthening and pushing northeast.
In Wisconsin Tuesday morning at 11:35 a.m. the measurement was 28.38″ or 961.06 mb. The previous record was 28.45″ or 963.43 mb at Green Bay on April 3, 1982.
This low pressure area will produce a variety of weather from a possible severe weather outbreak with a tornado potential in Indiana, Ohio and southern Michigan in the warm sector of the storm to blizzard conditions across North Dakota in the cold sector of the storm. The rest of the Midwest, including Minnesota, is under High Wind Warnings and will see very strong winds that at times could gust higher than 50 mph. Winds intensified late Tuesday afternoon. Today the storm will lift northeast of Lake Superior into Canada and weather conditions will slowly improve in most areas by Wednesday evening although travel may be difficult in eastern North Dakota and northwestern Minnesota because of wet snow with some accumulations greater than 5 inches possible especially around the Bismarck area. The storm could also cause dangerous waves on the Great Lakes with damaging waves on the shorelines of western Michigan. Winds will be from the west-southwest on Lake Superior so damaging waves are not expected on Minnesota’s North Shore. The combination of wind, rain and thunderstorms may cause significant delays at some of the larger airports such as Minneapolis/St.Paul, Chicago, Detroit, Cleveland, Cincinnati and Indianapolis.
New Acoustic Early Warning System For Landslide Prediction – A new type of sound sensor system has been developed to predict the likelihood of a landslide. Thought to be the first system of its kind in the world, it works by measuring and analysing the acoustic behaviour of soil to establish when a landslide is imminent so preventative action can be taken. Noise created by movement under the surface builds to a crescendo as the slope becomes unstable.
INDONESIA – Extreme Weather Causes Flood in Jakarta. Floods causing a terrible traffic jam in Jakarta Monday were presumably because of extreme weather change. Extreme weather condition has resulted in the rainfall reaching 111 millimeters in just 2 hours. In fact, normally, rainfall in one month only reaches 300 millimeters. In this situation the existing drainage can not accommodate the rainfall and drain the river water properly. Consequently, the water overflows to the streets. “The fact is that the yesterday`s rainfall was not normal.”
The rapid development of the storm that dominated most of the central US on October 26th, is now in the record books. Low pressure was recorded at 28.25″ in Minnesota, THE LOWEST PRESSURE EVER FOR A NON-TROPICAL SYSTEM IN THE U.S. That was equal to the pressure in a Category 3 Hurricane. The winds are slowed down over land, as opposed to the open ocean. Winds did reach over 70 mph, resulting in 268 wind damage reports. There were also 24 reports of tornadoes. Power was out for more than 200,000 people, planes were grounded, and many buildings were damaged. The rapid development of this storm can be seen from the satellite movie from NOAA’s GOES project. This is stronger than the storm that capsized the Edmund Fitzgerald ship on Lake Superior back on November 10, 1975. It also BREAKS THE RECORD LOW PRESSURE set in Baltimore from the Superstorm of March 1993. There is still one more day of active weather possible. A slight risk of severe storms will be from Maryland southward. (video & maps)
U.S. – Midwest battered by 56 tornadoes in two days. Residents of US states from North Dakota to North Carolina are cleaning up after a fierce storm unleashed driving rain, blustery winds, heavy snow and 56 tornadoes in just two days. The National Weather Service said the storm had caused the second-largest October tornado outbreak on record. Injuries from the storm have been reported in states across the US.
Conditions in many states returned to normal on Thursday as the storm made its way north-east toward Ontario.
But windy weather is still being felt in some regions in the Midwest, the Great Lakes and the Ohio Valley. Snow and gusty winds struck North and South Dakota for a second day on Wednesday, leaving roads throughout the state covered with ice and slush. Tornadoes formed as far east as Virginia, with eight touching down in Indiana, three in Kentucky and six in Ohio. Some residents across the Midwest and the East Coast also lost power as a result of the storm. Forecasters at the Weather Channel said there had been 42 tornadoes on Tuesday and 14 on Wednesday.
BENIN – An airlift of 1,500 tents arrived Thursday in Benin, the country seen as hardest hit by West African floods that have killed hundreds and left scores homeless this rainy reason.
Despair of Pakistan’s forgotten flood victims –Three months after the flooding which affected 20 million people and one fifth of the country, survivors have no home, no hope and no answers. Children are crying for food. “I tell them God will send someone very kind, and I send them to sleep. In the morning they ask again for food, and I say again that God will send someone.” Queues of desperate flood victims are waiting for help in vain. Like many other areas in Sindh, Daur is cut off by water – an island of desperation. Troops are deployed to control the hungry, who began gathering at six in the morning. With a single helicopter the United Nations World Food Programme could only bring in 250-300 rations. But three or four times that number had joined the queue. “It is heartbreaking. The need is so big, and you want to help everyone.” Soon there could be even less to go around. The WFP says it will have to cut rations – by half – in November because of a lack of donations. The UN’s $2bn (£1.26) appeal for Pakistan is less than 40% funded. There is already the spectre of malnutrition. It is always a problem in Sindh province and now it is rising dangerously. “We are dying from hunger.”
Aid agencies say many promises of help have receded with the flood waters. They warn that funds are drying up, as new threats are emerging. Some families and their livestock are living out in the open, marooned on embankments Diseases are spreading, and winter is closing in on the 20 million flood victims – seven million of whom still do not have shelter. Farmland is still buried beneath the water. Thousands are marooned on a network of embankments, hostage to the flood waters, and exposed to heat, cold and mosquitoes. “We are worried about the winter. We have no blankets and no warm clothes, and there is nothing to eat.” After two months on the embankments they do not even have tents – failed by their leaders, and by the international community.
EXTREME HEAT / WILDFIRES / DROUGHT / CLIMATE CHANGE–
BRAZIL – Severe drought afflicts Brazilian Amazon. Some rivers are at their LOWEST LEVEL IN DECADES. The Brazilian government has announced $13.5m (£8.6m) in emergency aid for Amazon regions hit by the WORST DROUGHT IN DECADES.
The money will fund water pumping and purification, as well as food deliveries to towns cut off by the drop in river levels. The River Amazon at Manaus has fallen to its lowest level since 1963. Scientists say the region is facing its worst drought since that year. In Amazonas state 27 municipalities have declared a state of emergency because of the dry spell. Several tributaries of the Amazon have almost completely dried up, paralysing river transport and the fishing industry. The rainy season in the region usually begins in November. The Peruvian Amazon, 2,000km (1,240 miles) upstream has also been affected.
Environmental groups say severe droughts are likely to become more frequent in the Amazon as a result of global warming, putting further strain on the rainforest. The Amazon is the world’s second-longest river, after the Nile, but discharges far more water from its mouth and drains more territory.
AUSTRALIA – Rain and cool weather in southeast Australia have slowed the development of billions of locusts, but a plague will arise as the days grow warmer.
HEAVY SNOW / EXTREME COLD-
EUROPE, RUSSIA – COLDEST WINTER IN 1,000 YEARS ON ITS WAY. After the record heat wave this summer, Russia’s weather seems to have acquired a taste for the extreme. Propeller Forecasters say this winter could be the coldest Europe has seen in the last 1,000 years. The change is reportedly connected with the speed of the Gulf Stream, which has shrunk in half in just the last couple of years. Polish scientists say that it means the stream will not be able to compensate for the cold from the Arctic winds. According to them, when the stream is completely stopped, a new Ice Age will begin in Europe.
So far, the results have been lower temperatures: for example, in Central Russia, they are a couple of degrees below the norm. “Although the forecast for the next month is only 70 percent accurate, I find the cold winter scenario quite likely. We will be able to judge with more certainty come November. As for last summer’s heat, the statistical models that meteorologists use to draw up long-term forecasts aren’t able to predict an anomaly like that.” In order to meet the harsh winter head on, Moscow authorities are drawing up measures to help Muscovites survive the extreme cold. Most of all, the government is concerned with homeless people who risk freezing to death if the forecast of the meteorologists come true. Social services and police are being ordered to take the situation under control even if they have to force the homeless to take help.
RUSSIA – Cyclone with snowstorms, severe frosts approaches Magadan Region. Cold with snowstorms will come to the Magadan Region in the next few days. The Russian Emergencies Ministry’s Magadan regional department issued a warning on Saturday about the extremely active cyclone approaching the region from the south of the Far East.
Very heavy precipitations, 40-mm and more, and snowstorms with wet snow sticking to wire and trees and winds of up to 30 metres a second will hit the region on October 26 and 27. There will be a storm with four-six-metre waves and poor visibility in the Okhotsk and Bering seas and the Pacific. Rescuers warn about possible breakdowns and damage of ships. Heads of municipalities, executives, ship owners and port workers are informed about possible emergencies in connection with the cyclone and the cold weather. The temperature in Magadan was about one degree below zero on Saturday. It will fall to 16 degrees Centigrade below zero on the night on October 27, and it will be a little higher in the daytime — nine to ten degrees below zero.
NOAA forecasters estimate a 40% chance of severe geomagnetic storms around the poles on Oct. 25th. The forecast is prompted by a possible double whammy: both a solar wind stream and a CME could hit Earth’s magnetic field on that date.
SEVERE STORM WARNING CANCELLED – NOAA forecasters have downgraded the chance of a severe geomagnetic storm on Oct. 25th to only 1%. Sunspot group 1117 continues to increase in spot count and magnetic complexity. No big flares yet, however. A solar wind stream continues to buffet Earth’s magnetic field.
Moon quake link tenuous – The Moon, the Sun and atmospheric pressure are highly unlikely to be causing aftershocks or influencing them, a study shows. The Auckland Predict Weather director says that since the September 4 earthquake he has been able to accurately predict clusters of aftershocks based on the increased gravitation pull from the Moon and the Sun at certain times of the month. He said most of the aftershocks had “occurred on the new or the full Moon…They are getting less because the Moon is moving further away.”
But another scientist says he can find no evidence of a link. “There’s no obvious or significant correlation between the force of gravity by the Sun and the Moon, and the atmospheric pressure, and the number of quakes we are getting or the size of them.” The time of the month should not influence when large aftershocks occur. “I’m aware that there has been at least one person in the news claiming that the position of the Moon may have affected the quakes in Canterbury, but that seems to be a fairly tenuous assumption, unsupported by much of the scientific evidence at present. While it’s true that the Moon and Sun exert small forces on the surface of the Earth depending on their relative orientation, these forces do not seem to be strong enough to significantly influence the exact hour or day that any particular quake will occur on.” Some scientific papers suggested there might be about a 0.5 per cent increase in quake numbers because of tidal forces, but not for shakes of magnitude 4.0 or above.
Solar Shield — Protecting the North American Power Grid. Every hundred years or so, a solar storm comes along so potent it fills the skies of Earth with blood-red auroras, makes compass needles point in the wrong direction, and sends electric currents coursing through the planet’s topsoil. The most famous such storm, the Carrington Event of 1859, actually shocked telegraph operators and set some of their offices on fire. If such a storm occurred today, we could experience widespread power blackouts with permanent damage to many key transformers.
A new NASA project called “Solar Shield” could help keep the lights on. “Solar Shield is a new and experimental forecasting system for the North American power grid. We believe we can zero in on specific transformers and predict which of them are going to be hit hardest by a space weather event.” When a coronal mass ejection (a billion-ton solar storm cloud) hits Earth’s magnetic field, the impact causes the field to shake and quiver. These magnetic vibrations induce currents almost everywhere, from Earth’s upper atmosphere to the ground beneath our feet. Powerful GICs can overload circuits, trip breakers, and in extreme cases melt the windings of heavy-duty transformers. This actually happened in Quebec on March 13, 1989, when a geomagnetic storm much less severe than the Carrington Event knocked out power across the entire province for more than nine hours. The storm damaged transformers in Quebec, New Jersey, and Great Britain, and caused more than 200 power anomalies across the USA from the eastern seaboard to the Pacific Northwest. A similar series of “Halloween storms” in October 2003 triggered a regional blackout in southern Sweden and may have damaged transformers in South Africa.
Since the beginning of the Space Age the total length of high-voltage power lines crisscrossing North America has increased nearly 10 fold. This has turned power grids into giant antennas for geomagnetically induced currents. With demand for power growing even faster than the grids themselves, modern networks are sprawling, interconnected, and stressed to the limit — a recipe for trouble. A large-scale blackout could last a long time, mainly due to transformer damage. “These multi-ton apparatus cannot be repaired in the field, and if damaged in this manner they need to be replaced with new units which have lead times of 12 months or more.”
During extreme storms, engineers could safeguard the most endangered transformers by disconnecting them from the grid. That itself could cause a blackout, but only temporarily. Transformers protected in this way would be available again for normal operations when the storm is over. The innovation of Solar Shield is its ability to deliver transformer-level predictions. “Solar Shield springs into action when we see a coronal mass ejection (CME) billowing away from the sun. Images from SOHO and NASA’s twin STEREO spacecraft show us the cloud from as many as three points of view, allowing us to make a 3D model of the CME, and predict when it will arrive.” While the CME is crossing the sun-Earth divide, a trip that typically takes 24 to 48 hours, the Solar Shield team prepares to calculate ground currents. The crucial moment comes about 30 minutes before impact when the cloud sweeps past ACE, a spacecraft stationed 1.5 million km upstream from Earth. “We quickly feed the data into CCMC computers. Our models predict fields and currents in Earth’s upper atmosphere and propagate these currents down to the ground.” With less than 30 minutes to go, Solar Shield can issue an alert to utilities with detailed information about GICs. Solar Shield is experimental and has never been field-tested during a severe geomagnetic storm. A small number of utility companies have installed current monitors at key locations in the power grid to help the team check their predictions. So far, though, the sun has been mostly quiet with only a few relatively mild storms during the past year. The team needs more data. The next solar maximum is expected around 2013, so it’s only a matter of time.
A pair of UNUSUAL fireballs over Canada and the southeastern USA have experts wondering if Comet Hartley 2 might produce a meteor shower in early November. This month, Comet Hartley 2 has put on a good show for backyard astronomers. The comet has a vivid green atmosphere and auburn tail of dust. Could this comet produce a meteor shower? “Probably not, but the other night we saw something that makes me wonder.”
On Oct 16th, a pair of NASA all-sky cameras caught an unusual fireball streaking across the night sky over Alabama and Georgia. It was bright, slow, and – here’s what made it unusual – strangely similar to a fireball that passed over eastern Canada less than five hours earlier. Because the fireballs were recorded by multiple cameras, it was possible to triangulate their positions and backtrack their orbits before they hit Earth. This led to a remarkable conclusion: “The orbits of the two fireballs were very similar. It’s as if they came from a common parent.”
There’s a candidate only 11 million miles away: Small but active Comet Hartley 2 is making one of the closest approaches to Earth of any comet in centuries. It turns out that the orbits of the two fireballs were not only similar to one another, but also roughly similar to the orbit of the comet. Moreover, meteoroids from Comet Hartley would be expected to hit Earth’s atmosphere at a relatively slow speed -just like the two fireballs did. This could be a coincidence. “Thousands of meteoroids hit Earth’s atmosphere every night. Some of them are bound to look like ‘Hartley-ids’ just by pure chance.” Even so, keep an eye out for more in the nights ahead, especially on Nov. 2nd and 3rd. That’s when a potential Hartley-id meteor shower would be most intense. The comet was closest to Earth on Oct. 20th, but that’s not necessarily the shower’s peak-time. “The comet has been sputtering space dust for thousands of years, making a cloud that is much bigger than the comet itself. Solar radiation pressure and planetary encounters cause the comet and the dust cloud to diverge — not a lot, but enough to make the date of the shower different from the date of the comet’s closest approach.” If there is a Hartley-id shower, it would emanate from the constellation Cygnus the Swan, visible to observers in the northern hemisphere almost directly overhead after sunset in early November. “It’s probably going to be a non-event. On the other hand, we might discover a whole new meteor shower.” (photos)
Behemoth sunspot 1117 is not merely growing, it is transmogrifying [transforming, especially in a surprising or magical manner.] Since yesterday, the shape-shifting sunspot has developed a “beta-gamma” magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class solar flares. Any such eruptions will likely be geoeffective because the sunspot is almost-squarely facing Earth. (photo at link above)
HEALTH THREATS –
New high-dose flu shot – There’s a new flu shot in town – one that’s four times as strong and targeted at senior citizens. The reason? Scientists believe that a high-dose flu vaccine will jump-start senior citizens’ immune response and provide them better protection from the virus. Scientists long have known that, as the body ages, the immune system doesn’t respond as vigorously to the typical vaccination. By quadrupling the number of antigens, doctors hope that the new shot’s immune boost will result in fewer deaths and serious cases of flu among the elderly.
Haiti cholera outbreak causes not clear, experts say. Until the current outbreak, cholera had not been documented in Haiti since 1960. The outbreak in central Haiti that so far has killed more than 250 people and infected more than 3,000 is the worst health challenge the country faces since the earthquake in January. The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said after the earthquake that while cholera testing should be carried out, the disease was “extremely unlikely to occur”. It is not clear if the cause of the outbreak will ever be identified, but health experts agree that for cholera to occur, bad sanitation and hygiene have to coincide with people carrying the Vibrio Cholerae bacterium.
“Central Haiti – where most people have been infected – was not the region most affected by the earthquake…In many African countries there are sporadic cases during the year, then the weather changes or other conditions change, and all of a sudden there is an outbreak.” The disease is difficult to predict. It is possible low-level cholera was present in Haiti all along. That cholera has now been picked up so quickly after the outbreak in the Artibonite region is a great success for Haiti’s health authorities and international organisations working the country. It is difficult to get a complete picture of the global spread of the disease, because some countries are reluctant to report cholera for fear of travel sanctions. Those infected need to receive treatment immediately. If not treated, the death-rate of cholera can rise up to 50%.
RECALLS & ALERTS: –
-The Texas Department of State Health Services ordered Sangar Fresh Cut Produce in San Antonio to stop processing food and recall all products shipped from the plant since January. The order was issued after laboratory tests of chopped celery from the plant indicated the presence of Listeria monocytogenes.
-Foremost Foods, International, Inc. of Pomona, CA, is issuing a voluntary recall on certain Tomi brand dried seafood products because they have the potential to be contaminated with Clostridium botulinum.
-Del Monte Fresh Produce N.A., Inc is recalling certain cantaloupes grown in and shipped from Arizona. The affected product was distributed to limited customers in and around Detroit, Michigan and is being recalled because these cantaloupes have the potential to be contaminated with Salmonella.
-Pats Exotic Beverages Inc., New York, is recalling all packages of “Carrot Juice” beverage, “Carrot Beet” beverage, “Carrot Lime” beverage and “Cucumber” beverage, because the products have been determined to be inadequately processed and may contain food borne pathogens.
-Standard Homeopathic Compan is recalling its Hyland’s Teething Tablets. The company is initiating this recall in an abundance of caution due to an FDA investigation of its manufacturing facility. Hyland’s Teething Tablets are manufactured in the United States and distributed throughout North America.
-A limited number of Mega Pops[TM] brand lollipops may contain traces of foreign particles, and as a precautionary measure, manufacturer Colombina S.A. is asking customers to return these lollipops to their retailer and instructing retailers to recall the product voluntarily.
Signs in False Shepherds & False Religion
“For among them are those who worm their way into households and capture idle women burdened down with sins, led along by a variety of passions, always learning and never able to come to a knowledge of the truth. Just as Jannes and Jambres resisted Moses, so these also resist the truth, men who are corrupt in mind, worthless in regard to the faith. But they will not make further progress, for their lack of understanding will be clear to all, as theirs was also.” 2 Timothy 3:6-9
Faith Under Fire
“Blessed are you when they insult you and persecute you and falsely say every kind of evil against you because of me. Be glad and rejoice, because your reward is great in heaven. For that is how they persecuted the prophets who were before you.” Matthew 5:11-12
“You will be hated by everyone because of my name. But the one who endured to the end will be delivered.” Matthew 10:22